作者
Nazim Hussain Abdul Qayyum Khan
作者關係機構:
Rahim Yar Khan Campus, The Islamia University
of Bahawalpur, Pakistan 1 COMSATS WahCantt. Pakistan
資料來源:
World Applied Sciences Journal;2014, Vol. 31 Issue 6, p1180
出版日期:
June 2014
摘要:
The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the exchange
rate exposure of pharmaceutical industry of Pakistan in long run and short
term. Quarterly time series data for last 37 quarters from 2003Q1 to 2012Q1have
been used. Unit root test, co-integration test and ECM have been applied to
investigatethe stationarity and long run and short term exposure of the
industry. Results revealed that all variables are stationary at level with
intercept only. Co-integration results showthat there is long run relationship
between stock returns, exchange rate and market return index. Error Correction
Mechanism results shows that that there is negative short term significant
relationship between stock returns of pharmaceutical multinationals of Pakistan
and exchange rate dollar currencyin short run. Likewise stock returns have
positive short term and significant impact with market return index. The
equilibrium adjustment term show that all the disequilibrium in short term will
adjusted in current period as the coefficient of error term is 1 and
statistically significant. Keeping in view, the findings of this study suggest
that extensive financial hedging is necessary to moderate the exchange rate
exposure.
關鍵字:
Stock Returns, Exchange rate exposure ,Co-integration Test ,Error correction mechanism, Pharmaceutical industry, Pakistan
地理位置描述項:
Pakistan
ISSN:
1818-4952
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