Exchange rate and oil price: asymmetric adjustmen
Abstract
This article aims to investigate whether the interaction between exchange
rate and oil price exhibits asymmetric adjustment in Philippines using
quarterly data over the period 1970Q1 to 2011Q4. The Threshold
Autoregressive (TAR) model reveals that exchange rate and oil price are
not cointegrated. However, these two variables are asymmetrically adjusted
in Momentum Threshold Autoregressive (MTAR) model. Thus, it suggests
that adjustment mechanism towards equilibrium may not be necessarily
constant.
rate and oil price exhibits asymmetric adjustment in Philippines using
quarterly data over the period 1970Q1 to 2011Q4. The Threshold
Autoregressive (TAR) model reveals that exchange rate and oil price are
not cointegrated. However, these two variables are asymmetrically adjusted
in Momentum Threshold Autoregressive (MTAR) model. Thus, it suggests
that adjustment mechanism towards equilibrium may not be necessarily
constant.
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