重要事項 Import Notes

重要事項 Import Notes
修習國際金融專題學生,
請務必參見 課程網頁維護重要事項 Import Notes
Registered students MUST see the Import Notes

2009-09-29

The effect of export insurance subsidy on export supply: The experience of Japan

Jai S. Mah(2006),"The effect of export insurance subsidy on export supply:The experience of Japan,"Jornal of Asian Economics,Volume17,Issue4,pp.646-652 [原文連結DOI]

重點摘要 by 9892016 (2009.10.25)

基本理論:
本文獻探討輸出保險補貼政策能否在匯市波動大時仍能促使出口供給穩定提升,進而促進經濟成長。如果政府願意,使出口商在面對國際金融市場的不確定性時能更勇往直前,對經濟成長應有所助益才是。文獻以使用此政策歷史悠久且視為重點政策的日本為研究對象,確立其40年間經濟成長背後的關連性。

研究方法:
主要的研究方法:多元迴歸模型,ADF與PP單根檢定,Johansen共整合檢定

需要之統計數據:
XPI,GDP,WPI,Exchange rate,輸出保險補貼金額衡量值,失業率,出口量

實證主要結論:
結果顯示在面對國際金融變動下,輸出保險補貼政策的影響並不顯著,政府應該要以其他更有效率的方式做為出口商的後盾,承受國際金融的衝擊。

所遭遇之問題與困難:
1.第一次做外國文獻實證研究及搜尋資料庫,難免不熟悉及有許多技巧需要學習,包括如何有效閱讀、研究的前因後果、資料庫使用技巧等等。
2.在時間序列的方法上還有很多未融會貫通之處,特別在矩陣的運算上感到吃力,日後仍需不斷努力。
3.本paper是取全時段做實證研究,有想focus在特定國際局勢不穩、匯市波動特別大的時段,探討結果是否會受影響。

參考書目:
楊奕農,2009,時間序列分析-經濟與財務上之應用,二版
萬哲鈺,2006,國際金融,四版
黃台心,2009,計量經濟學,二版
Laurence S. Copeland,2008,Exchange Rates and International Finance,Fifth Edition
Dimitrios Asterious,2007,Applied Econometrics,revised edition


1 則留言:

YukiLiu 提到...

哈囉!原文的連結建立一下喔!

PO 文注意事項 (Notes about your posts required for this course)

每位同學必需建立與維護 2 個網頁: (updated on 2010.9.19)
Every registered student MUST post and maintain TWO pages at this site.

1. 你的期末報告想要仿照的原始 paper 重點摘要頁, 見 [
範例]
A summary of the paper you choose to follow in your term-project. (see a suggestive [summary example ]).

2. 你的學習紀錄頁, 見 [範例]
A "learning weblog" of your progress during this course (see [example]). This example is demonstrative rather than required to conform to.

3. 記得每一頁要在頁尾處輸入你的「標籤」, 包含學號後5碼, 名字或暱稱, 和 其它你自訂的關鍵字, 例 ADF、共整合、PPP、等
When you edit your pages, be sure to write appropriate "Tags" (as many as you wish) (around the bottom of editing screen) for your posted pages to let me identify your required contributions. The tags should at least include your last 5-digit student ID and keywords about the page.

4. 請同學在你所選的 paper 加上標籤:「已選」
If you have already decided a paper to follow and post a page for it. Please be sure to attach that page a specific tag named "selected or 已選." It is of course possible that two or more students may choose the same paper to follow as their term-project. BUT only one of them can be authorized to follow the specific paper. The decision will be based on a first-come-first-serve rule. That is, the one who posts the summary page of a paper gets the first priority to follow that paper posted with a tag named"selected" paper .

5. 在你的 學習紀錄頁加上標籤:學習記事
Don't forget to stick a tag "weblog" with your "learning weblog" page in addition to your last 5-digit student ID.


== Posted on 2009.10.05 ==
請同學在你所選的 paper 加上
標籤:「已選」
在你的 學習紀錄頁加上標籤:學習記事